Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by August 31?

geopoliticsResolved

Yes, settled Aug 3, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$5.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 3, 2026 UTC

Topic roomCuba and the region

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 3 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 31%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 21 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 21 Jul 2026 to 3 Aug 2026, the highest close was 65.5% on 22 Jul 2026 and the lowest 26% on 2 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 46% on 23 Jul 2026. $5.3K traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 21 Jul 2026 – 3 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Jul 2026	47.5%
3 Aug 2026	31.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
troim	No	800
Neon Kestrel D874	No	74.88
TeenagePanda	No	57.14
.Menthe	No	50

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare reports a Nationwide internet outage in Cuba, caused by a power outage, which begins any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying outage must be labeled by Cloudflare on its Cuba page (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu), under the Internet Outages section with Type “Nationwide” and Cause “Power Outage”. However, if Cloudflare changes its reporting terminology or organization, an entry with equivalent labels indicating a nationwide internet outage caused by a power outage will qualify. A qualifying outage must begin, per Cloudflare's reported start time, by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. However, the qualifying label need not be published by then: if Cloudflare reports an outage or internet disruption which is ongoing or has ended within the previous 48 hours at 11:59 PM UTC on the listed date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM UTC on the third calendar day following the specified date to allow for confirmation of whether the incident qualifies. If no potentially qualifying outage has been reported by Cloudflare by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No” at that time. This market will resolve to 'Yes' as soon as Cloudflare reports a qualifying outage within the applicable resolution period, including an outage whose labels are revised to qualify within that period. The resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu). Note: this market does not require Cuba's internet traffic volume to fall below any specific threshold.