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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | No | 14 | $0.350 | $5.25 | +$0.35 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 7 | $0.740 | $5.18 | 15h ago |
 |
| No |
| 15.38 |
| $0.220 |
| $5.23 |
| +$1.85 |
 Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 12 | $0.410 | $5.04 | +$0.12 |
 Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 9 | $0.550 | $4.95 | $0 |
 Will Pluralis launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.970 | $4.93 | +$0.08 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? | No | 6 | $0.740 | $4.92 | +$0.48 |
 Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years? | No | 14 | $0.340 | $4.83 | +$0.07 |
 Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | No | 9 | $0.550 | $4.82 | -$0.14 |
 Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga? | No | 10 | $0.490 | $4.75 | -$0.15 |
 Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | No | 9 | $0.540 | $4.73 | -$0.14 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? | No | 9 | $0.530 | $4.68 | -$0.09 |
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | No | 10 | $0.500 | $4.65 | -$0.35 |
 Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30? | No | 9 | $0.519 | $4.64 | -$0.03 |
 Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in September? | No | 15 | $0.320 | $4.58 | -$0.23 |
 Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? | No | 6 | $0.740 | $4.5 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026? | No | 7 | $0.650 | $4.49 | -$0.06 |
 Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | No | 21 | $0.230 | $4.1 | -$0.73 |
 Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | No | 8 | $0.569 | $4.04 | -$0.51 |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 6 | $0.630 | $3.84 | +$0.06 |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 7 | $0.630 | $3.81 | -$0.6 |
 Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 6 | $0.660 | $3.81 | -$0.15 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | No | 10 | $0.480 | $3.58 | -$1.23 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 8 | $0.590 | $3.52 | -$1.2 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.240 | $3.5 | -$1.3 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 10 | $0.480 | $3.35 | -$1.45 |
| sell |
| 65 |
| $0.340 |
| $22.1 |
| 22h ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No | sell | 9 | $0.600 | $5.4 | 23h ago |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | sell | 9 | $0.450 | $4.05 | 1d ago |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 7 | $0.600 | $4.2 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.740 | $4.44 | 1d ago |
| Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?No | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 1d ago |
 Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 11 | $0.550 | $6.05 | 1d ago |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?No | buy | 9 | $0.519 | $4.67 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 19 | $0.260 | $4.94 | 1d ago |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.550 | $4.95 | 1d ago |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?No | sell | 8 | $0.711 | $5.69 | 1d ago |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?No | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | 1d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.470 | $4.7 | 1d ago |
| Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.220 | $3.38 | 1d ago |
 Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.710 | $4.97 | 1d ago |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | 2d ago |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.500 | $6 | 2d ago |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?No | buy | 9 | $0.530 | $4.77 | 2d ago |
 Will Srđan Amidžić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?No | sell | 76 | $0.961 | $73.04 | 2d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.370 | $7.77 | 2d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | sell | 9 | $0.600 | $5.4 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.740 | $4.44 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 7 | $0.650 | $4.55 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 2d ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?No | sell | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | 2d ago |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?No | sell | 15 | $0.445 | $6.68 | 2d ago |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?No | buy | 8 | $0.610 | $4.88 | 2d ago |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.410 | $4.92 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in September?No | buy | 15 | $0.320 | $4.8 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.230 | $4.83 | 2d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.330 | $2.97 | 2d ago |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 9 | $0.670 | $6.03 | 2d ago |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.550 | $4.95 | 3d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.580 | $4.06 | 3d ago |
 Will Lacy or Marlon die to a wither skeleton?No | buy | 7 | $0.360 | $2.52 | 3d ago |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.530 | $4.77 | 3d ago |
 Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 8 | $0.580 | $4.64 | 3d ago |
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?No | buy | 6 | $0.660 | $3.96 | 3d ago |
| Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 11 | $0.440 | $4.84 | 3d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | buy | 9 | $0.510 | $4.59 | 3d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 12 | $0.410 | $4.92 | 3d ago |
 Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?No | buy | 8 | $0.590 | $4.72 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.630 | $3.78 | 3d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 59 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 9 | $0.530 | $4.77 | 3d ago |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.700 | $4.2 | 3d ago |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | 3d ago |
 Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 9 | $0.520 | $4.68 | 3d ago |