Analytics
Yes is at 30.5%, down 7 points from 37.5% when the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 37.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 34.5%.
March 31, 2027 ranks second of the 3 outcomes in “CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...?”. June 30, 2027 leads at 43.5%; December 31, 2026 is at 28.5%.
$213.27 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.93K since listing. The order book holds $728.28, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 89 trades, $222.65 bought Yes and $989.57 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Distinct-Child with 119 shares; the largest No position is edge999 with 69. Ten wallets hold 80% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 37.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 30.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Distinct-Child | Yes | 118.73 |
| edge999 | No | 68.87 |
| PMWolf | Yes | 54 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term credit rating for CoreWeave, Inc., or its rating on CoreWeave, Inc.'s senior unsecured debt, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." "Long-term credit rating" means S&P Global Ratings' long-term issuer credit rating, or Moody's Ratings' corporate family rating or long-term issuer rating, on CoreWeave, Inc. A downgrade of CoreWeave, Inc.'s senior unsecured debt by either agency will qualify, even if that agency's long-term credit rating for CoreWeave, Inc. is unchanged. A change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade) will not qualify. As of market creation, CoreWeave, Inc. is rated B+ by S&P Global Ratings (https://cbonds.com/news/3865295/) and Ba3 by Moody's Ratings (https://cbonds.com/news/3865521/), both below investment grade. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the official rating action publications of Moody's Ratings (https://ratings.moodys.com) and S&P Global Ratings (https://www.spglobal.com/ratings); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/coreweave-downgraded-by-moodys-or-sp-by
| Haradwaith |
| Yes |
| 50.01 |
| Olcan | No | 38.12 |
| PPMT | No | 30.08 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | No | 30 |
| erFiodena | No | 28.16 |
| Malganis | Yes | 23.07 |
| financegaaaydog | Yes | 23.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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