Analytics
Yes is at 28%, up 7.5 points from 20.5% when the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 24% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 21 Oct 2026. The current quote, 28%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 24% on 28 Oct 2026.
December 31, 2026 ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...?”. June 30, 2027 leads at 43.5%; March 31, 2027 is at 30.5%.
$244 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.2K since listing. The order book holds $353.88, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 20 trades, $53.88 bought Yes and $353.13 bought No.
The largest Yes position is PPMT with 60 shares; the largest No position is iori4752 with 63.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 20.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 24.0% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term credit rating for CoreWeave, Inc., or its rating on CoreWeave, Inc.'s senior unsecured debt, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." "Long-term credit rating" means S&P Global Ratings' long-term issuer credit rating, or Moody's Ratings' corporate family rating or long-term issuer rating, on CoreWeave, Inc. A downgrade of CoreWeave, Inc.'s senior unsecured debt by either agency will qualify, even if that agency's long-term credit rating for CoreWeave, Inc. is unchanged. A change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade) will not qualify. As of market creation, CoreWeave, Inc. is rated B+ by S&P Global Ratings (https://cbonds.com/news/3865295/) and Ba3 by Moody's Ratings (https://cbonds.com/news/3865521/), both below investment grade. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the official rating action publications of Moody's Ratings (https://ratings.moodys.com) and S&P Global Ratings (https://www.spglobal.com/ratings); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/coreweave-downgraded-by-moodys-or-sp-by
| Haradwaith |
| No |
| 30 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 28.72 |
| erFiodena | No | 25.43 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| Polimaki | Yes | 20 |
| maomao228 | Yes | 20 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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