Analytics
Yes is at 34%, down 12 points from 45.5% when the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 30% on 23 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...?”.
$193 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.76K since listing. The order book holds $448.15, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 54 trades, $426.02 bought Yes and $409.67 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 166 shares; the largest No position is CosmicCedar with 321.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 1:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 25%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 32.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CosmicCedar | No | 320.61 |
| AJSV | Yes | 165.61 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 50 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term credit rating for CoreWeave, Inc., or its rating on CoreWeave, Inc.'s senior unsecured debt, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." "Long-term credit rating" means S&P Global Ratings' long-term issuer credit rating, or Moody's Ratings' corporate family rating or long-term issuer rating, on CoreWeave, Inc. A downgrade of CoreWeave, Inc.'s senior unsecured debt by either agency will qualify, even if that agency's long-term credit rating for CoreWeave, Inc. is unchanged. A change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade) will not qualify. As of market creation, CoreWeave, Inc. is rated B+ by S&P Global Ratings (https://cbonds.com/news/3865295/) and Ba3 by Moody's Ratings (https://cbonds.com/news/3865521/), both below investment grade. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the official rating action publications of Moody's Ratings (https://ratings.moodys.com) and S&P Global Ratings (https://www.spglobal.com/ratings); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/coreweave-downgraded-by-moodys-or-sp-by
| bakayo33 - 9934 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| Azerfhhgee112 | Yes | 20 |
| 2B9S | No | 20 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 19.64 |
| edge999 | Yes | 15 |
| Malganis | Yes | 14.68 |
| congmqian-gendan | Yes | 5.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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