Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 90 | $0.580 | $54.45 | +$2.25 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 24.54 | $0.407 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 40 |
| $0.520 |
| $31.4 |
| +$10.6 |
 Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.730 | $28.22 | +$6.32 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.380 | $25.2 | +$13.8 |
 Another US debt downgrade before 2027? | Yes | 110.79 | $0.512 | $14.4 | -$42.29 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 20 | $0.350 | $10.5 | +$3.5 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 70 | $0.450 | $9.45 | -$22.05 |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.470 | $3.58 | +$1.23 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.038 |
| $3.8 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.670 | $40.2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Down | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.039 | $2.37 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?No | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | buy | 9.15 | $0.656 | $6 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No | buy | 8.92 | $0.210 | $1.87 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.47 | $0.250 | $0.37 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.73 | $0.870 | $2.38 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 317.69 | $0.089 | $28.26 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No | buy | 50.17 | $0.560 | $28.09 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.955 | $4.77 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.829 | $16.58 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?No | buy | 30 | $0.460 | $13.8 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.764 | $22.92 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.580 | $52.2 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 141.75 | $0.160 | $22.68 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | sell | 269.23 | $0.050 | $13.46 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.4% before 2027?Yes | buy | 31.67 | $0.938 | $29.72 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 269.23 | $0.130 | $35 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 141.76 | $0.423 | $60 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No | sell | 55 | $0.802 | $44.1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 ECB rate cut in 2026?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.263 | $5.26 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No | buy | 110 | $0.650 | $71.5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.681 | $34.05 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.215 | $21.51 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 38.96 | $0.199 | $7.75 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 150.73 | $0.605 | $91.19 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 90 | $0.906 | $81.57 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 150.73 | $0.663 | $100 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.66 | $0.100 | $1.27 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 121.54 | $0.650 | $79 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 257.14 | $0.350 | $90 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | sell | 72.46 | $0.830 | $60.14 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.086 | $15.43 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 72.46 | $0.690 | $50 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?Yes | buy | 80.13 | $0.499 | $40 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?Yes | sell | 510 | $0.073 | $37.27 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 90 | $0.890 | $80.1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesYes | sell | 25 | $0.630 | $15.75 | Jan 26, 2026 |