It asks whether the following will happen: Bolsonaro guilty? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Feb 28, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
On March 26, the Brazilian Supreme Court ruled that Jair Bolsonaro will stand charges for an attempted coup. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/26/world/americas/brazil-bolsonaro-trial-coup-2022-elections.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Bolsonaro is found guilty of any charges related to the coup attempt by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Bolsonaro's charges are dismissed, end due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, or a mistrial is declared for the relevant charges, this market will…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($117.19K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
$61.96K
Yes buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Sep 12, 12:00 AM
Showing 60 of 500 loaded trade rows.Full archived tape is available through subscriber depth/API retrieval when coverage exists.
Vultax loaded 50 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 90.6% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 13, 4:39 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/bolsonaro-guilty) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
