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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 437.79 | $0.830 | $363.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.41K |
| $0.780 |
| $1.1K |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 574.54 | $0.892 | $512.49 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.780 | $1.1K | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.900 | $900 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 1K | $0.997 | $997 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.967 | $1.97 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 344.03 | $0.991 | $341.08 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No | sell | 5.65 | $0.979 | $5.53 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 5.52K | $0.994 | $5.49K | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 89.52 | $0.090 | $8.06 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 12.48 | $0.306 | $3.82 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 89.52 | $0.418 | $37.4 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.876 | $1.16K | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 974.91 | $0.065 | $63.06 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 208.54 | $0.769 | $160.42 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 15.49 | $0.413 | $6.39 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 301.27 | $0.337 | $101.67 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 182.59 | $0.351 | $64.08 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 201.93 | $0.450 | $90.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 700.04 | $0.465 | $325.65 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.367 | $5.1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 112.28 | $0.358 | $40.24 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 207.49 | $0.312 | $64.67 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.831 | $166.29 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 368.51 | $0.383 | $141.18 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 138.78 | $0.353 | $48.96 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 77.8 | $0.599 | $46.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 368.68 | $0.567 | $208.91 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 166.25 | $0.511 | $84.96 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?No | buy | 690.59 | $0.950 | $656.06 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?No | buy | 500 | $0.950 | $475 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | sell | 375.64 | $0.210 | $78.88 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.210 | $213.88 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 751.28 | $0.356 | $267.48 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.160 | $159.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?No | buy | 1K | $0.950 | $950 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?No | buy | 295 | $0.940 | $277.3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?No | buy | 426.99 | $0.920 | $392.83 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No | sell | 352.38 | $0.435 | $153.12 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.33K | $0.018 | $23.95 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No | buy | 385.67 | $0.160 | $61.71 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No | buy | 404.77 | $0.186 | $75.36 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No | buy | 49.28 | $0.225 | $11.11 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No | buy | 172.79 | $0.200 | $34.56 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No | buy | 85.44 | $0.210 | $17.94 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No | buy | 299.05 | $0.139 | $41.46 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes | sell | 414.02 | $0.120 | $49.68 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.140 | $9.1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 319.58 | $0.789 | $252.3 | Jun 16, 2026 |