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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 140K | $0.500 | $127.75K | +$57.75K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
49ers vs. Rams49ers | buy | 2.62 | $0.987 | $2.59 | 8h ago |
49ers vs. Rams |
| Yes |
| 140K |
| $0.500 |
| $12.25K |
| -$57.75K |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 4.67K | $0.949 | $4.53K | +$99.99 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 2.75K | $0.981 | $2.7K | -$0.5 |
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | No | 2.7K | $0.948 | $2.62K | +$61.98 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 2.5K | $0.890 | $2.42K | +$193.75 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.915 | $2.4K | +$112.28 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 2.5K | $0.920 | $2.31K | +$12.5 |
US recession by end of 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.894 | $2.29K | +$52.7 |
Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 2.18K | $0.959 | $2.13K | +$37.42 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.16K | $0.952 | $2.11K | +$55.21 |
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? | No | 1.58K | $0.888 | $1.56K | +$157.26 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1.54K | $0.935 | $1.51K | +$75.07 |
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.940 | $1.45K | +$38.25 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.997 | $997.51 | +$0.5 |
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | No | 833.76 | $0.920 | $822.5 | +$55.45 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 813.19 | $0.968 | $807.5 | +$20.73 |
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? | No | 785.02 | $0.931 | $761.47 | +$30.21 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 750 | $0.940 | $730.5 | +$25.5 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 750 | $0.830 | $633.75 | +$11.25 |
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | No | 624.76 | $0.959 | $612.89 | +$13.74 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 620.38 | $0.730 | $592.46 | +$139.59 |
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 600 | $0.930 | $581.7 | +$23.7 |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 608.65 | $0.928 | $577.91 | +$13.06 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 564.63 | $0.869 | $538.94 | +$48.25 |
| buy |
| 260.96 |
| $0.950 |
| $247.91 |
| 8h ago |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.070 | $52.5 | 2d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.984 | $1.97K | 2d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 154.59 | $0.991 | $153.2 | 5d ago |
Will Hurricane Lowell make landfall in Hawaii?No | buy | 70 | $0.960 | $67.2 | 5d ago |
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 1 and September 10, 2026?No | buy | 289.89 | $0.980 | $284.09 | 5d ago |
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?No | buy | 11.99 | $0.740 | $8.87 | 5d ago |
Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?Yes | buy | 11.99 | $0.199 | $2.39 | 5d ago |
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.720 | $30.96 | 5d ago |
Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.167 | $5.01 | 5d ago |
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | 5d ago |
Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?Yes | buy | 33.6 | $0.091 | $3.06 | 5d ago |
| sell | 5 | $0.956 | $4.78 | 6d ago |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.069 | $2 | 6d ago |
Negative GDP growth in 2026?No | buy | 77.21 | $0.976 | $75.36 | 6d ago |
US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.940 | $1.41K | 6d ago |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.076 | $19 | 6d ago |
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.090 | $22.5 | 6d ago |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?Yes | buy | 220.99 | $0.068 | $15.03 | 6d ago |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Maine by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | 6d ago |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Delaware by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 18.88 | $0.899 | $16.98 | 6d ago |
Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.900 | $22.5 | 6d ago |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Virginia by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.950 | $42.75 | 6d ago |
Will a hurricane make landfall in New York by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.929 | $27.87 | 6d ago |
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?No | buy | 18.31 | $0.800 | $14.65 | 6d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 750 | $0.974 | $730.25 | 8d ago |
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?No | buy | 428.08 | $0.977 | $418.42 | 8d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 480 | $0.954 | $457.92 | 20d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 902.27 | $0.952 | $858.96 | 20d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.966 | $19.32 | 20d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 500.11 | $0.984 | $492.11 | 20d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 63.82 | $0.973 | $62.1 | 20d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.560 | $28 | 21d ago |
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 177 | $0.854 | $151.09 | 26d ago |
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?No | buy | 261.93 | $0.968 | $253.55 | 27d ago |
Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 1.72K | $0.994 | $1.71K | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 156.76 | $0.975 | $152.77 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?No | buy | 166.26 | $0.968 | $160.89 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.967 | $1.55K | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 114.69 | $0.963 | $110.41 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 91.3 | $0.989 | $90.3 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 409.39 | $0.969 | $396.68 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.92 | $0.988 | $33.51 | Aug 12, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.985 | $492.5 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.989 | $494.5 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 750 | $0.830 | $622.5 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Iran coup attempt by December 31?No | buy | 331.25 | $0.890 | $294.67 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.920 | $2.3K | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 380 | $0.820 | $311.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |