Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 40K | $0.500 | $36.5K | +$16.5K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 191.42 | $0.831 | $159.12 | 10h ago |
|
| No |
| 9.59K |
| $0.989 |
| $9.55K |
| +$70.47 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 4.92K | $0.817 | $4.42K | +$399.89 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 4.31K | $0.955 | $4.15K | +$36.19 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 40K | $0.500 | $3.5K | -$16.5K |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | No | 2.84K | $0.959 | $2.74K | +$18.89 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 2.62K | $0.727 | $1.83K | -$69.68 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.837 | $1.71K | +$36.67 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes | 1.88K | $0.769 | $1.54K | +$95.09 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 1.46K | $0.906 | $1.38K | +$53.9 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.968 | $978.5 | +$10.5 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.925 | $935 | +$10 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 941.03 | $0.931 | $880.33 | +$4.15 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 880.52 | $0.959 | $856.75 | +$12.05 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | No | 865.29 | $0.860 | $770.1 | +$26.23 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 2.73K | $0.216 | $615.21 | +$25.2 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 523.89 | $0.948 | $508.96 | +$12.22 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 486.6 | $0.960 | $484.89 | +$17.76 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 359.94 | $0.964 | $347.16 | +$0.18 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | No | 199.46 | $0.904 | $184.5 | +$4.13 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 201.41 | $0.831 | $174.22 | +$6.8 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 419.74 | $0.405 | $157.4 | -$12.39 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 157.83 | $0.982 | $157.04 | +$2.05 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 252.8 | $0.746 | $155.47 | -$33.15 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31? | No | 125.12 | $0.877 | $122.68 | +$12.89 |
| sell |
| 208.5 |
| $0.540 |
| $112.59 |
| 10h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.583 | $696.15 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 666.96 | $0.570 | $380.12 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 551.01 | $0.380 | $209.16 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.448 | $179.14 | 17h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 151 | $0.780 | $117.78 | 20h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 836 | $0.390 | $325.67 | 21h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 817 | $0.519 | $423.84 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 127.82 | $0.480 | $61.35 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.400 | $5.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.530 | $29.13 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.490 | $15.19 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.490 | $11.76 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 54.29 | $0.490 | $26.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 112.5 | $0.500 | $56.25 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 47.71 | $0.520 | $24.81 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 239.24 | $0.518 | $123.94 | 1d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 57.65 | $0.960 | $55.34 | 2d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 208.7 | $0.957 | $199.83 | 2d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.45 | $0.960 | $21.55 | 3d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 158.71 | $0.971 | $154.12 | 3d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Yes | buy | 53.35 | $0.140 | $7.47 | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.070 | $1.47 | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | sell | 24.85 | $0.070 | $1.74 | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Yes | buy | 25.68 | $0.130 | $3.34 | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Yes | buy | 9.9 | $0.120 | $1.19 | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Yes | sell | 119.99 | $0.140 | $16.8 | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Yes | sell | 146.74 | $0.160 | $23.48 | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | buy | 127.45 | $0.060 | $7.65 | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Yes | buy | 481.94 | $0.140 | $67.47 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 401.03 | $0.932 | $373.79 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | sell | 140.32 | $0.999 | $140.18 | 4d ago |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | buy | 463 | $0.407 | $188.25 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 888.78 | $0.948 | $842.29 | 5d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.240 | $3.12 | 5d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | 5d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.210 | $2.73 | 5d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 40.77 | $0.110 | $4.48 | 5d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.04 | $0.200 | $2.01 | 5d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 623.8 | $0.146 | $91.16 | 5d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50.81 | $0.173 | $8.79 | 5d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.837 | $50.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 125.87 | $0.734 | $92.34 | 5d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No | sell | 89 | $0.210 | $18.69 | 5d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No | sell | 313 | $0.210 | $65.73 | 5d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.02K | $0.992 | $5.97K | 5d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.530 | $0.03 | 5d ago |