Analytics
Yes is at 100%, up 9 points from 91% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
The high was 100% on 21 Oct 2026 and the low 91% on 15 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?”.
$45.76K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $58.42K since listing. The order book holds $35.58K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 163 trades, $29.64K bought Yes and $116.2 bought No; the largest was a $5.6K buy of Yes at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 8K shares; the largest No position is Favorable-Pepper-Brushing with 7.9K. Ten wallets hold 75.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 21 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 21, 10:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 91.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 100.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 7.96K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | No | 7.92K |
| qqqq88888 | No | 7K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-21-2026
| KFai | Yes | 5.29K |
| gt197 | No | 4.18K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 3.51K |
| nearping | Yes | 3K |
| PmDerek | Yes | 2.49K |
| yiba2 | Yes | 1.96K |
| lingke | Yes | 1.85K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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