Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98%. Yes opened at 69% on 15 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 98% on 21 Oct 2026 and the low 69% on 15 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 82.5% on 19 Oct 2026. $201.41K traded over the market's life.
63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 6:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 69.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 98.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thismonth | No | 20.58K |
| Louuuummm | No | 18.47K |
| Uuyghbh | No | 5.89K |
| detoxification | Yes | 5.01K |
| Rodri0 | No | 2.97K |
| vedaresearch.btc | No | 2.16K |
| latzs | No | 1.96K |
| zzzgoodwill1 | No | 1.83K |
| Orewaluffy | No | 1.2K |
| Cosmic Atlas 4903 | No | 1.03K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-21-2026
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