Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 7% on 15 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the highest close was 7% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 21 Oct 2026. $108.18K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 2:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bc1qpfuf2ynwcynnf9aczxvqgumxsznsunrk0r9tn3 | Yes | 25K |
| Sugarlatte | Yes | 23K |
| nirvanacrypto | Yes | 4.5K |
| gratiscorp | Yes | 2.61K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-21-2026
| 0xDB5 | Yes | 2.29K |
| Hollow-Cheese | Yes | 1.57K |
| Canine-Opportunity | Yes | 1.4K |
| zzzgoodwill1 | Yes | 1.34K |
| woshisb | Yes | 1.2K |
| 196874353278 | Yes | 1.02K |
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