Analytics
Yes is at 100%, up 4.8 points from 95.2% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
The high was 100% on 21 Oct 2026 and the low 95.2% on 15 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?”.
$19.09K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $43.31K since listing. The order book holds $90.95K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 120 trades, $9.75K bought Yes and $336.46 bought No; the largest was a $1.81K buy of Yes at 96.3¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 19.7K shares; the largest No position is anna003 with 10.1K. Ten wallets hold 74.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 21 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 21, 10:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 95.2% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 100.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 19.67K |
| FXC | Yes | 11K |
| anna003 | No | 10.08K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-21-2026
| gt197 |
| No |
| 5.72K |
| wAliens | No | 2.42K |
| qqqq88888 | No | 2.1K |
| nearping | Yes | 2K |
| Kaies | Yes | 1.29K |
| Yaia | Yes | 1.21K |
| zzzgoodwill1 | No | 1.14K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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