Analytics
Yes is at 82%, up 26 points from 56.5% when the market opened on 1 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2026 to 2 Nov 2026, the highest close was 82% on 2 Nov 2026 and the lowest 56.5% on 1 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 82% on 2 Nov 2026.
$1.01K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.14K since listing. The order book holds $10.97K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 39 trades, $457.04 bought Yes and $89.44 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Antony82 with 416 shares; the largest No position is Umaroth with 191. Ten wallets hold 94.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 6 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 2, 11:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 1 Nov 2026 – 2 Nov 2026, chart shows 50%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | 56.5% |
| 2 Nov 2026 | 82.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Antony82 | Yes | 415.82 |
| Umaroth | No | 190.91 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 125.35 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is sworn in into office as a United States Senator representing the seat currently held by Dan Sullivan (Class II) on or before January 5, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate is considered sworn in when the oath of office is administered to them on the floor of the United States Senate, as recorded in the Congressional Record. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Senate, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/alaska-senator-sworn-in-by-january-5
| pootytherewardfarmer |
| Yes |
| 53.7 |
| hfv | No | 46.89 |
| Carabao | No | 40.32 |
| AMAM13 | No | 21 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | No | 20 |
| winexecutescale | No | 20 |
| ConsensusOfCredibleReporting | No | 17.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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