theo5

The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.

Market	Outcome	Shares	Observed price	Observed value	Position PnL
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	77.68K	1.6%	$1.2K	-$1.83K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	75.12K	84.5%	$63.47K	+$36.84K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	73.25K	90.5%	$66.3K	+$33.92K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Yes	54.01K	5.8%	$3.11K	-$617.42
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	28.91K	97.0%	$28.03K	+$1.85K
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	24.77K	16.0%	$3.95K	-$3.47K
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	21.93K	11.5%	$2.52K	+$104.82
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	18.79K	0.7%	$122.1	-$218.23
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	Yes	15.48K	12.5%	$1.93K	-$939.13
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	15.4K	12.0%	$1.85K	-$5.23K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Yes	13.68K	30.0%	$4.1K	+$2.54K
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	13.03K	1.6%	$201.98	-$257.42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	Yes	11.03K	13.2%	$1.46K	+$345.22
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	9.6K	11.0%	$1.06K	-$4.06
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	7.07K	27.5%	$1.94K	-$1.46K
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	5.8K	16.5%	$957	-$87
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	5.58K	14.1%	$784.48	-$462.23
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	Yes	5.18K	6.5%	$336.58	-$284.8
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	4.61K	3.4%	$156.58	-$575.46
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	3.92K	5.5%	$215.39	-$616.36
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	3.51K	3.9%	$135.2	+$63.78
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	Yes	3.23K	9.0%	$290.7	-$387.6
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	3.16K	2.7%	$85.43	-$76.91
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	3.04K	0.1%	$4.56	-$3.85
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	2.94K	25.0%	$734.41	+$131.13

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