Latest trade
Oct 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 15, 12:02 AM UTC.
Analytics
latenightdegen is down $774.37 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 15, 12:02 AM UTC.
$7.58 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 102 markets; 49.8% were buys. They run from Apr 5, 2026 UTC to Oct 12, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 34.78 | $0.046 | $1.77 | +$0.17 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.78 | $0.046 | $1.6 | 2d ago |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-14 22:16 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-15 00:02 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-15 00:02 UTC
polymarket profile
41 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $144.83 and losing ones cost $298.66 across the latest 50 settled positions. 36% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $50.96 on “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $99.15 on “Iran leadership change by April 30?” (Yes).
It first traded on 27 Jul 2024 and most recently on 12 Oct 2026. It has traded 263 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.8 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1 |
| $0.169 |
| $0.02 |
| -$0.15 |
| sell |
| 40.81 |
| $0.031 |
| $1.27 |
| 27d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Yes | sell | 345.45 | $0.001 | $0.35 | 27d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Yes | buy | 195.45 | $0.011 | $2.15 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.049 | $2 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.124 | $1.24 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Yes | buy | 161 | $0.010 | $1.61 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.81K | $0.001 | $2.81 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.050 | $4.5 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 113.33 | $0.011 | $1.25 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.100 | $1.82 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.053 | $5.85 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.004 | $1.33 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | sell | 364.75 | $0.006 | $2.19 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | sell | 28.38 | $0.110 | $3.12 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | sell | 203.05 | $0.028 | $5.68 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 84.75 | $0.059 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | sell | 299.87 | $0.026 | $7.82 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 103.06 | $0.036 | $3.7 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.017 | $1.71 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 350.88 | $0.057 | $20 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 28.39 | $0.310 | $8.8 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 123.1 | $0.081 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.102 | $10.2 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.103 | $10.3 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.103 | $8.58 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?No | sell | 336 | $0.006 | $2.02 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.140 | $1.75 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.016 | $0.62 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 183.33 | $0.108 | $19.8 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 36.25 | $0.240 | $8.7 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | sell | 108.79 | $0.083 | $8.99 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 16.87 | $0.310 | $5.23 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 8.63 | $0.300 | $2.59 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.098 | $3.43 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 38.75 | $0.100 | $3.88 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 38.75 | $0.160 | $6.2 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.180 | $8.1 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.