Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.910 | $54.6 | Nov 1, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 494.45 |
| $0.909 |
| $449.65 |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.951 | $1.08K | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | sell | 1.19K | $0.940 | $1.12K | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 598.49 | $0.709 | $424.28 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.950 | $3.33K | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.780 | $894.18 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will any country leave NATO in 2025?No | sell | 592 | $0.975 | $577.2 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 15?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.626 | $1K | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 5.46K | $0.973 | $5.31K | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Megaquake before August?No | sell | 523.65 | $0.001 | $0.52 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Megaquake by August 31?No | buy | 222.15 | $0.900 | $200 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will any country leave NATO in 2025?No | buy | 842.11 | $0.950 | $800 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 120.8 | $0.828 | $100 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "President Xi" during his AI speech on July 23?No | buy | 230.18 | $0.434 | $100 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 561.79 | $0.920 | $516.85 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?No | sell | 823.13 | $0.880 | $724.35 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.058 | $11.57 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Grok be the next CEO of X?Yes | sell | 1.72K | $0.019 | $33.25 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3AM ETUp | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | buy | 372.29 | $0.537 | $200 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Megaquake before August?No | buy | 523.65 | $0.955 | $500 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Grok be the next CEO of X?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.058 | $100 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.911 | $1K | Jul 2, 2025 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?No | sell | 183.1 | $0.980 | $179.49 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Trump x Khamenei talk before July?Yes | buy | 192.89 | $0.052 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before July?Yes | buy | 320.38 | $0.031 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.022 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before July?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.034 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.042 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.014 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 561.8 | $0.890 | $500 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?No | buy | 366.2 | $0.819 | $300 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | sell | 561.79 | $0.830 | $466.29 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?No | buy | 336.83 | $0.689 | $232 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 561.8 | $0.890 | $500 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?No | buy | 419.31 | $0.715 | $300 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?No | buy | 823.14 | $0.850 | $700 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.840 | $1K | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5.46K | $0.916 | $5K | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 1.28K | $0.078 | $100 | Jun 20, 2025 |