Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 20.86K | $0.367 | $10.54K | +$2.88K |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12K | $0.430 | $5.16K | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 7.5K |
| $0.527 |
| $6.34K |
| +$2.39K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 12K | $0.430 | $5.58K | +$420 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.52 | $0.500 | $0.26 | +$0 |
| sell |
| 42.7K |
| $0.250 |
| $10.68K |
| May 6, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No | buy | 4.01K | $0.997 | $4K | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.01K | $0.999 | $10K | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 9.59 | $0.960 | $9.21 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 543.58 | $0.920 | $500 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.910 | $962.52 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.861 | $1K | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.815 | $1K | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on April 22?No | buy | 270.24 | $0.999 | $269.97 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 24°C or below on April 22?No | buy | 190.17 | $0.999 | $189.98 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 837.84 | $0.597 | $500 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 667.65 | $0.749 | $500 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.25K | $0.770 | $2.5K | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 401.89 | $0.750 | $301.42 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.44K | $0.123 | $300.91 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.37K | $0.148 | $500 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 900 | $0.720 | $648 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.4K | $0.720 | $1.73K | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 15K | $0.990 | $14.85K | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 549.45 | $0.910 | $500 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 566.88 | $0.882 | $500 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.982 | $1K | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.980 | $1.5K | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.940 | $1K | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | buy | 44.9 | $0.968 | $43.46 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.982 | $4.91K | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 10K | $0.960 | $9.6K | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.750 | $3.75K | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.300 | $3K | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.92K | $0.857 | $2.5K | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 978.26 | $0.920 | $900 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.93K | $0.280 | $2.5K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.77K | $0.570 | $5K | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.281 | $281.14 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.69K | $0.961 | $3.54K | Apr 4, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.660 | $5.74 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 4.31K | $0.580 | $2.5K | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.543 | $950.15 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 4.42K | $0.566 | $2.5K | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.26K | $0.689 | $5K | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.46K | $0.670 | $5K | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.01K | $0.079 | $316.94 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.63K | $0.623 | $6K | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.69K | $0.949 | $3.5K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |