
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 29 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 87% on 30 Jan 2026 and the low 0.1% on 1 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 87% on 30 Jan 2026. $398.97K traded over the market's life.
201 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 29 Jan 2026 – 1 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 | 52.5% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sudden-Hazelnut | Yes | 6.31K |
| gfshjsfgjfsghj | Yes | 5.38K |
| Plastic-Sack | Yes | 3.79K |
| Fantastic-Compost | Yes | 2.62K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Opinion officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Opinion (https://x.com/opinionlabsxyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-opinion-launch-a-token-by
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| Mont1k | Yes | 2.5K |
| Idle-Bait | Yes | 2.33K |
| Patience1201 | Yes | 2.05K |
| dyhsjke | Yes | 1.5K |
| anton534 | Yes | 1.11K |
| buyisi | Yes | 1K |