Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 77.52 | $0.120 | $9.3 | Feb 27, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 1.72 |
| $0.140 |
| $0.24 |
| Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.240 | $0.42 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.300 | $0.48 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.260 | $0.5 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.370 | $0.64 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.400 | $0.68 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.390 | $0.69 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | sell | 1.85 | $0.380 | $0.7 | Feb 13, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | sell | 18.53 | $0.309 | $5.72 | Feb 13, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | buy | 18.53 | $0.540 | $10.01 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.460 | $0.78 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.480 | $0.81 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?Yes | sell | 1.79 | $0.482 | $0.86 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Don Lemon charges dropped?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.480 | $0.87 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Natural Disaster in 2026?No | sell | 1.79 | $0.520 | $0.93 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50.0 and 50.5 million views on day 6?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.520 | $0.98 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.510 | $0.98 | Feb 12, 2026 |
5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.540 | $1.02 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionYes | sell | 1.69 | $0.610 | $1.03 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.800 | $1.35 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50.0 and 50.5 million views on day 6?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.530 | $1.06 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?Yes | buy | 1.8 | $0.557 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.590 | $1.11 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.730 | $1.21 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.730 | $1.3 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.878 | $1.43 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.594 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.780 | $1.41 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Don Lemon charges dropped?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Natural Disaster in 2026?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.557 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.690 | $1.06 | Jan 29, 2026 |
5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.610 | $1.09 | Jan 29, 2026 |
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.660 | $1.12 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?Girl | sell | 1.85 | $0.460 | $0.85 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will UpScrolled be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of February?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.700 | $1.14 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Natural Disaster in 2026?No | sell | 3.77 | $0.520 | $1.96 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |