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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 7 | $0.930 | $6.97 | +$0.46 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
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| No |
| 3 |
| $0.900 |
| $2.88 |
| +$0.18 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 3 | $0.800 | $2.66 | +$0.26 |
| buy |
| 1.14K |
| $0.001 |
| $1.14 |
| Apr 28, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 103.45 | $0.029 | $3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 926.68 | $0.005 | $5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.003 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1.69K | $0.008 | $13.5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.930 | $6.51 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 3 | $0.800 | $2.4 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.900 | $2.7 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.965 | $2.41 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.860 | $2.58 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.973 | $1.95 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.968 | $2.9 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.850 | $12.75 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.930 | $6.98 | Jan 30, 2026 |