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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 38.87 | $0.346 | $23.13 | +$9.68 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Minnesota Lynx | buy | 9.53 | $0.510 | $4.86 | 27d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 71.33 |
| $0.060 |
| $21.76 |
| +$17.48 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 22.36 | $0.531 | $19.45 | +$7.58 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 14.3 | $0.520 | $13.09 | +$5.65 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 13.42 | $0.761 | $11.39 | +$1.18 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 11.77 | $0.751 | $10.06 | +$1.22 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.63 | $0.886 | $8.06 | +$0.42 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 8.93 | $0.595 | $7.45 | +$2.14 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.27 | $0.735 | $7.23 | +$1.15 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 7.28 | $0.946 | $6.99 | +$0.11 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 5.84 | $0.926 | $5.84 | +$0.43 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 6.02 | $0.601 | $5.21 | +$1.59 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 5.74 | $0.469 | $4.62 | +$1.93 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.02 | $0.774 | $3.99 | +$0.88 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 36.95 | $0.141 | $3.62 | -$1.6 |
 Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | No | 3.66 | $0.860 | $3.27 | +$0.12 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | No | 3.72 | $0.870 | $3.26 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | Yes | 3 | $0.730 | $2.91 | +$0.72 |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | Yes | 2.87 | $0.780 | $2.85 | +$0.61 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.74 | $0.880 | $2.66 | +$0.25 |
 Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | No | 2.82 | $0.820 | $2.3 | -$0.01 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | No | 5.47 | $0.704 | $2.16 | -$1.69 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 2.08 | $0.740 | $2.04 | +$0.5 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2.1 | $0.945 | $2.01 | +$0.03 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 2.08 | $0.750 | $1.94 | +$0.38 |
| sell |
| 3.59 |
| $0.790 |
| $2.84 |
| 27d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?Yes | buy | 3.59 | $0.800 | $2.87 | 27d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.800 | $6.56 | 27d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.570 | $4.64 | 27d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.570 | $4.64 | 27d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?No | sell | 8.15 | $0.540 | $4.4 | 27d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.56 | 27d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?No | buy | 3.46 | $0.540 | $1.87 | 27d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?No | buy | 2.65 | $0.540 | $1.43 | 27d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.540 | $4.4 | 27d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.520 | $2.65 | 27d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?No | buy | 2.55 | $0.510 | $1.3 | 27d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?No | buy | 5.47 | $0.190 | $1.04 | 27d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.820 | $1.72 | 27d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?Yes | buy | 8.19 | $0.840 | $6.88 | 27d ago |
 Tampa Bay Rays vs. AthleticsTampa Bay Rays | buy | 2.88 | $0.680 | $1.96 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.540 | $1.26 | 27d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 12?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.950 | $1.98 | 28d ago |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. AthleticsTampa Bay Rays | buy | 15.71 | $0.630 | $9.9 | 28d ago |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.940 | $1.94 | 29d ago |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.930 | $1.41 | 29d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.96 | $0.230 | $1.14 | 29d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.390 | $1.56 | 29d ago |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysBoston Red Sox | buy | 15.75 | $0.600 | $9.45 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.840 | $1.68 | 29d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.495 | $1.02 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers | buy | 6.6 | $0.720 | $4.75 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers | buy | 6.86 | $0.720 | $4.94 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)New York Liberty | buy | 18.36 | $0.500 | $9.18 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.940 | $2.94 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.950 | $3.96 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.49 | $0.820 | $2.04 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.950 | $2.97 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.910 | $2.47 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.570 | $1.74 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.590 | $1.18 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.950 | $3.96 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees | buy | 17.62 | $0.550 | $9.69 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Athletics vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds | buy | 2.36 | $0.610 | $1.44 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Athletics vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds | buy | 13.42 | $0.620 | $8.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.930 | $1.88 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago SkyLos Angeles Sparks | buy | 6.13 | $0.450 | $2.76 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Los Angeles Sparks | buy | 5.1 | $0.510 | $2.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.950 | $4.95 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado RockiesTampa Bay Rays | buy | 15.75 | $0.600 | $9.45 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 3.2 | $0.590 | $1.89 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No | buy | 3.72 | $0.870 | $3.24 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.640 | $1.34 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.820 | $2.31 | Aug 4, 2026 |