Analytics
Yes is at 20%, up 9 points from 11% when the market opened on 15 Jul 2026.
Across the 103 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 35% on 19 Jul 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 20 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 16.5%; a month before, 18.5%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 5.5% on 20 Jul 2026.
Guadalajara ranks second of the 18 outcomes in “Liga MX: 2026 Apertura Champion”. América leads at 25.5%; Cruz Azul is at 16.5%.
$7.2 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $30.3K since listing. The order book holds $5.93K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 488 trades, $2.48K bought Yes and $5.11K bought No.
The largest Yes position is marksman with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.3K. Ten wallets hold 87.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 4:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 103 points, 15 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | 11.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 20.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.33K |
| Nooserac | No | 1.12K |
| marksman | Yes | 1.07K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Apertura Final in Liga MX. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Apertura in Liga MX per the rules of the Liga MX (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Liga MX season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Liga MX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/liga-mx-2026-apertura-champion-20260713222753208
6 more outcomes, none above 0.7%.
| riitmo |
| Yes |
| 999.08 |
| thefakenick | No | 671.16 |
| kakarotmu | Yes | 622.55 |
| funplayer- | No | 470.79 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 232.03 |
| cowcat | Yes | 193.17 |
| StillWater0 | Yes | 154.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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