Analytics
Yes is at 16.5%, up 4.5 points from 12% when the market opened on 15 Jul 2026.
Across the 100 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 37.5% on 19 Jul 2026 and the lowest 9% on 3 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 12.5%; a month before, 15%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 37.5% on 19 Jul 2026.
Cruz Azul ranks third of the 18 outcomes in “Liga MX: 2026 Apertura Champion”. América leads at 26.5%; Guadalajara is at 19%.
$1.52K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $25.24K since listing. The order book holds $4.6K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 391 trades, $1.69K bought Yes and $8.59K bought No; the largest was a $1.9K buy of No at 77.7¢.
The largest Yes position is cowcat with 2.7K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.3K. Ten wallets hold 89.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 100 points, 15 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | 12.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 16.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cowcat | Yes | 2.7K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.33K |
| legendofanime | No | 1.03K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Apertura Final in Liga MX. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Apertura in Liga MX per the rules of the Liga MX (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Liga MX season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Liga MX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/liga-mx-2026-apertura-champion-20260713222753208
6 more outcomes, none above 0.7%.
| cigarettes |
| Yes |
| 517.21 |
| thefakenick | No | 427.83 |
| funplayer- | No | 375.1 |
| riitmo | No | 244 |
| marksman | No | 243.61 |
| Spectrum | No | 239 |
| giozuno | Yes | 193.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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