Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement? | No | 30.3 | $0.330 | $30.28 | +$20.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 14.78 |
| $0.670 |
| $12.78 |
| +$2.88 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10.59 | +$0.59 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 14.75 | $0.570 | $6.57 | -$1.84 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 6.08 | $0.760 | $5.77 | +$1.15 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 11.19 | $0.580 | $5.54 | -$0.95 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.49 | +$0.45 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 9 | $0.490 | $4.91 | +$0.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8 | $0.430 | $3.96 | +$0.52 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.72 | $0.454 | $3.51 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.13 | $0.400 | $2.8 | -$0.45 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.33 | $0.240 | $0.99 | -$0.29 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.35 | $0.200 | $0.92 | -$0.35 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 38.46 |
| $0.260 |
| $10 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 3.35 | $0.690 | $2.31 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.520 | $1.59 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.640 | $1.95 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Boeing say "Tariff" during earnings call?No | buy | 7.36 | $0.670 | $4.93 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.600 | $4.88 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.58 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 37.45 | $0.267 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.5 | $0.440 | $1.54 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?No | buy | 12.75 | $0.240 | $3.06 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.600 | $3.05 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 7.75 | $0.360 | $2.79 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $670 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.760 | $4.62 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.300 | $2.13 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 5.92 | $0.750 | $4.44 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.56 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 23.57 | $0.600 | $14.14 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.650 | $1.95 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.600 | $4.88 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 14?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.370 | $2.59 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.410 | $3.28 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio <86%?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.680 | $4.83 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.260 | $1.71 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes | buy | 15.5 | $0.380 | $5.89 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?Yes | buy | 8.8 | $0.560 | $4.93 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.89 | $0.299 | $2.06 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.05 | $0.298 | $2.1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.42 | $0.760 | $4.88 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.370 | $2.59 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $141 Week of July 6 2026?No | buy | 11.14 | $0.760 | $8.47 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 7.72 | $0.454 | $3.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 11.19 | $0.580 | $6.49 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.400 | $3.25 | Jun 21, 2026 |