Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 2:07 PM UTC.
shk2p has made $51.52 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 12 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 2:07 PM UTC.
$4.62 median trade
Its latest 47 trades covered 16 markets; 74.5% were buys. They run from Aug 21, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | No | 28.96 | $0.230 | $27.97 | +$21.31 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?No | sell | 21.04 | $0.998 | $21 | 11h ago |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 07:46 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 14:07 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
47 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 14:07 UTC
polymarket positions
14 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-21 07:46 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $172.67 and losing ones cost $57.58 across 12 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $72.21 on “Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?” (No); the largest loss, $21.12 on “Will SI.gov launch by October 15?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 16 markets. Its open positions are worth $27.97 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 23.61 |
| $0.160 |
| $3.78 |
| 3d ago |
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No | sell | 43 | $0.956 | $41.11 | 3d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 26.39 | $0.160 | $4.22 | 3d ago |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | 9d ago |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.230 | $6.9 | 9d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | 9d ago |
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | 13d ago |
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No | sell | 52 | $0.640 | $33.28 | 13d ago |
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No | buy | 85 | $0.390 | $33.15 | 13d ago |
Will Gemini Argon be released on or prior to October 8, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.400 | $3.2 | 16d ago |
Will SI.gov launch by October 15?No | buy | 32 | $0.660 | $21.12 | 16d ago |
| Will "Resident Evil" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?No | buy | 57 | $0.210 | $11.97 | 16d ago |
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?No | buy | 52 | $0.120 | $6.24 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?No | buy | 9 | $0.130 | $1.17 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?No | buy | 123.97 | $0.130 | $16.12 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 97.64 | $0.038 | $3.71 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 24.25 | $0.038 | $0.92 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 132 | $0.300 | $39.6 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | sell | 16 | $0.488 | $7.81 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 42 | $0.110 | $4.62 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.370 | $1.17 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.370 | $1.34 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.370 | $1.34 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.370 | $0.76 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.370 | $1.34 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.370 | $1.06 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.370 | $0.88 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.370 | $1.17 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 19.9 | $0.230 | $4.58 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.230 | $2.32 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 67 | $0.190 | $12.73 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 61.18 | $0.160 | $9.79 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 18.82 | $0.160 | $3.01 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | buy | 134 | $0.400 | $53.6 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 100.78 | $0.220 | $22.17 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | sell | 17 | $0.270 | $4.59 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 17 | $0.310 | $5.27 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.240 | $0.6 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 103.28 | $0.200 | $20.66 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.340 | $20.4 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.330 | $19.8 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in China?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.380 | $36.1 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.