Latest trade
Jul 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:55 PM UTC.
Analytics
Thick-Bacon is down $3.85K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 10 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:55 PM UTC.
$40 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Mar 13, 2026 UTC to Jul 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 825.76 | $0.242 | $56.98 | -$143.02 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | $0 | $0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-19 14:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 13:55 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 13:55 UTC
polymarket positions
11 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-19 14:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $772.07 and losing ones cost $160 across 10 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $376.19 on “US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $100 on “Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)” (Yes).
It first traded on 13 Mar 2026 and most recently on 19 Jul 2026, 97 days ago. It has traded 67 markets. Its open positions are worth $99.36 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 333.33 |
| $0.150 |
| $16.83 |
| -$33.17 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 294.12 | $0.340 | $16.18 | -$83.82 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.120 | $9.37 | -$40.62 |
| buy |
| 195.2 |
| $0.098 |
| $19.13 |
| Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 240.96 | $0.415 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.200 | $25 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 384.62 | $0.390 | $150 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.413 | $500 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 28, 2026?No | buy | 137.42 | $0.430 | $59.09 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 832.41 | $0.961 | $800 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 26, 2026?No | buy | 134 | $0.149 | $20 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 26, 2026?No | buy | 172.7 | $0.579 | $100 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?No | buy | 63.12 | $0.158 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?Yes | buy | 255.7 | $0.391 | $100 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 22, 2026?No | buy | 144.42 | $0.346 | $50 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?No | buy | 207 | $0.483 | $100 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?No | buy | 650.13 | $0.154 | $100 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 177.27 | $0.910 | $161.32 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 52.27 | $0.300 | $15.68 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Yes | buy | 490.56 | $0.041 | $20 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Syria in March?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.120 | $30 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Yes | buy | 182.04 | $0.165 | $30 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.240 | $50 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 843.82 | $0.012 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 137.82 | $0.145 | $20 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.120 | $50 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?Yes | buy | 444.37 | $0.023 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes | buy | 353.08 | $0.028 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.032 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes | buy | 434.71 | $0.046 | $20 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?Yes | buy | 240.88 | $0.083 | $20 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | buy | 80.21 | $0.374 | $30 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.340 | $100 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 388.57 | $0.026 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 209.36 | $0.048 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "MIGA" or "Make Iran Great Again" this week? (March 15)Yes | buy | 206.97 | $0.242 | $50 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Regime change" this week? (March 15)Yes | buy | 788.37 | $0.254 | $200 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)Yes | buy | 238.21 | $0.420 | $100 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.260 | $100 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?Yes | buy | 204 | $0.049 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 428.57 | $0.070 | $30 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.030 | $30 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.039 | $50 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.032 | $50 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.620 | $100 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.