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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 10.61K | $0.939 | $10.14K | +$180.13 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 33.71 | $0.089 | $3 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 26.77 |
| $0.336 |
| $7.9 |
| -$1.1 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 66.39 | $0.120 | $6.51 | -$1.49 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.11 | $0.142 | $2.64 | -$0.36 |
 Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 7.58 | $0.132 | $0.53 | -$0.47 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.300 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
| buy |
| 16.67 |
| $0.300 |
| $5 |
| 1d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.750 | $8.33 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 4.25K | $0.953 | $4.05K | 24d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 74.31 | $0.942 | $70 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 72.7 | $0.860 | $62.52 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 106.16 | $0.942 | $100 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 218.08 | $0.620 | $135.21 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 20.24 | $0.490 | $9.92 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.610 | $4.27 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.06 | $0.150 | $1.06 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.700 | $1.52 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 14.15 | $0.410 | $5.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 30.24 | $0.490 | $14.82 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes | sell | 262.41 | $0.023 | $5.92 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes | buy | 121.21 | $0.033 | $4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.057 | $3 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes | buy | 88.02 | $0.057 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes | buy | 88.02 | $0.057 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 76.43 | $0.013 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.999 | $33.3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 32.68 | $0.153 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 13.33 | $0.340 | $4.53 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.100 | $0.91 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 66.6 | $0.050 | $3.33 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 108.51 | $0.922 | $100 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 363.05 | $0.560 | $203.31 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 43.5 | $0.920 | $40 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 121.22 | $0.590 | $71.52 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.53K | $0.928 | $1.42K | Jun 25, 2026 |