Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10.38 | +$0.38 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 23.96 | $0.960 | $23 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 10.42 |
| $0.960 |
| $10 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.934 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.961 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 13.86 | $0.866 | $12 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 31.94 | $0.871 | $27.82 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 31.95 | $0.939 | $30 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 23 | $0.893 | $20.54 | May 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.870 | $27.84 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Yes | sell | 21.98 | $0.460 | $10.11 | May 13, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?Yes | sell | 101.26 | $0.050 | $5.06 | May 13, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?Up | sell | 50 | $0.510 | $25.5 | May 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?Up | sell | 21.27 | $0.530 | $11.27 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 21 | $0.941 | $19.76 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.5K | $0.970 | $3.4K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.971 | $3.4K | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.180 | $900 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.98 | $0.941 | $5.63 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 5.82 | $0.991 | $5.77 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 6.07 | $0.993 | $6.03 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?No | sell | 28.86 | $0.961 | $27.73 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 6 | $0.959 | $5.75 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | sell | 290 | $0.840 | $243.6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 320 | $0.626 | $200.16 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.180 | $41.4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?No | buy | 28.87 | $0.972 | $28.06 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 6 | $0.963 | $5.78 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | buy | 5.31 | $0.960 | $5.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.980 | $5.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.99 | $0.935 | $5.6 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.987 | $6 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 5.82 | $0.910 | $5.3 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.968 | $5.5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8PM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.360 | $3.6 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - January 28, 8PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 8.48 | $0.997 | $8.45 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - January 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 9.99 | $0.960 | $9.59 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 20.61 | $0.970 | $19.99 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 17.22 | $0.980 | $16.88 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - January 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 20.82 | $0.960 | $19.99 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.959 | $5.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?No | buy | 6.54 | $0.979 | $6.4 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETUp | sell | 20.4 | $0.990 | $20.2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - January 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETDown | buy | 20.61 | $0.970 | $19.99 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETUp | buy | 20.4 | $0.980 | $20 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 30.06 | $0.860 | $25.85 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Dec 29, 2025 |