Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:18 PM UTC.
Analytics
Worst-Pagan is down $2.75K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:18 PM UTC.
$100 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 15 markets; 88.0% were buys. They run from Jul 12, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | Yes | 686.29 | $0.874 | $545.26 | -$54.42 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.660 | $14.52 | 11h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-20 01:47 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 20:18 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 20:18 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-20 01:47 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4.33K and losing ones cost $5.03K across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $527.96 on “Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.3K on “Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 103 markets. Its open positions are worth $837.87 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 212.36 |
| $0.824 |
| $158.95 |
| -$16.05 |
 Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? | Yes | 96.24 | $0.681 | $95.18 | +$29.63 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 57 | $0.678 | $38.48 | -$0.19 |
| buy |
| 35 |
| $0.690 |
| $24.15 |
| 15h ago |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Yes | buy | 0.28 | $0.650 | $0.18 | 4d ago |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Yes | buy | 9.72 | $0.650 | $6.32 | 4d ago |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 4d ago |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | 4d ago |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.650 | $4.55 | 4d ago |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Yes | buy | 49.24 | $0.711 | $35 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | 8d ago |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.900 | $99 | 8d ago |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes | buy | 111.23 | $0.899 | $100 | 8d ago |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes | buy | 120.19 | $0.832 | $100 | 9d ago |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes | buy | 116.01 | $0.862 | $100 | 9d ago |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.839 | $100.68 | 11d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | 13d ago |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes | buy | 108.86 | $0.919 | $100 | 14d ago |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 866.74 | $0.923 | $800 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Over | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. England: Team to WinEngland | buy | 124.31 | $0.909 | $113 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. England: France O/U 0.5Over | sell | 113.63 | $0.999 | $113.52 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win on 2026-07-18?Yes | buy | 50.65 | $0.682 | $34.54 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.590 | $26.55 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win on 2026-07-18?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.972 | $1.39K | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | sell | 298.5 | $0.026 | $7.76 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 298.51 | $0.670 | $200 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. England: France O/U 0.5Over | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 487.8 | $0.410 | $200 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland | sell | 132.89 | $0.010 | $1.33 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 876.93 | $0.980 | $859.39 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 14.38 | $0.980 | $14.09 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 108.69 | $0.980 | $106.52 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 132.89 | $0.752 | $100 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | sell | 12.88 | $0.265 | $3.41 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.565 | $25.42 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 900 | $0.953 | $857.25 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | sell | 343.77 | $0.130 | $44.69 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.847 | $1K | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 1.15 | $0.872 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 167.36 | $0.597 | $100 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 12.89 | $0.450 | $5.8 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 9.75 | $0.595 | $5.8 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 1.04K | $0.960 | $1K | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.