Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 4:48 PM UTC.
Analytics
paulgruber is down $727.76 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 4:48 PM UTC.
$16 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from May 24, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 256.76 | $0.740 | $237.63 | +$47.63 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cali: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria ZarateCarlos Maria Zarate | buy | 47.06 | $0.170 | $8 | 4d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-22 23:06 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 16:48 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 16:48 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-22 23:06 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.44K and losing ones cost $632.52 across the latest 50 settled positions. 90% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $252.63 on “Giants vs. Patriots” (Patriots); the largest loss, $272.46 on “Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 273 markets. Its open positions are worth $240.17 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 242.53 |
| $0.028 |
| $2.55 |
| -$4.18 |
| sell |
| 1.39K |
| $0.006 |
| $8.36 |
| 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | buy | 242.53 | $0.028 | $6.73 | 21d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 256.76 | $0.740 | $190 | 25d ago |
 Patriots vs. BillsBills | buy | 134.25 | $0.730 | $98 | 26d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.016 | $22 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| San Diego 2: Jack Kennedy vs Liam DraxlJack Kennedy | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico CoriaFederico Coria | buy | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will FC Barcelona vs. Paris FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 365.21 | $0.041 | $15 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-23?Yes | buy | 713.74 | $0.021 | $15 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Giants vs. RamsGiants | buy | 42.86 | $0.280 | $12 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Paris FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 300.4 | $0.050 | $15 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-23?Yes | buy | 859.41 | $0.041 | $35 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Vikings vs. BearsVikings | buy | 45.71 | $0.350 | $16 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 271.53 | $0.740 | $200.93 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Genoa: Laslo Djere vs Stefanos SakellaridisStefanos Sakellaridis | buy | 6.74 | $0.430 | $2.9 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?Yes | buy | 253.91 | $0.906 | $230 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?Yes | buy | 233.77 | $0.770 | $180 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| US Open ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Valentin RoyerValentin Royer | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 164.9 | $0.048 | $7.84 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?Yes | buy | 185.66 | $0.860 | $159.67 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
| Steelers vs. BillsBills | buy | 158.33 | $0.600 | $95 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Jets vs. SteelersSteelers | buy | 52.73 | $0.550 | $29 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy PaulAlexander Zverev | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
| Jaguars vs. SaintsSaints | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Jaguars vs. SaintsJaguars | buy | 55.56 | $0.720 | $40 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 164.91 | $0.061 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 216.17 | $0.033 | $7.21 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
 France vs. England: Team to WinEngland | buy | 143.59 | $0.975 | $140 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 216.17 | $0.042 | $9 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 106.67 | $0.150 | $16 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceParaguay | buy | 172.73 | $0.110 | $19 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 49.06 | $0.265 | $13 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 72.97 | $0.740 | $54 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.290 | $25 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | buy | 30.68 | $0.522 | $16 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.215 | $16.56 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | buy | 29.47 | $0.170 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 463.75 | $0.015 | $6.96 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 60.3 | $0.910 | $54.87 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 114.75 | $0.061 | $7 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 245.55 | $0.110 | $27 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.109 | $6.54 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Knicks vs. CavaliersCavaliers | buy | 43.07 | $0.460 | $19.81 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Thunder vs. SpursThunder | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.