Analytics
Resolved Patriots on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Patriots at 26.5%. The Patriots side opened at 50.5% on 26 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 26 Aug 2026 and the low 23.5% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 35.5% on 27 Aug 2026. $3.41M traded over the market's life.
430 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 8:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Patriots price, Polymarket CLOB · 40 points · 26 Aug 2026 – 4 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 10%–60%
| Observed | Patriots price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service | Bills | 280.05K |
| ethanaz | Bills | 156.04K |
| salgnklasf | Bills | 63.3K |
| liquiditycrisis | Bills | 59K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots". If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-ne-buf-2026-10-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| ratatatatatatatataaaa | Bills | 30K |
| itsonlyamatteroftime | Bills | 24.7K |
| yoyoyoyoer | Bills | 19.8K |
| stackingsats | Bills | 18.01K |
| ratehikes | Bills | 12K |
| AnonymousUsername | Bills | 11.43K |
