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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 11.9 |
| $0.940 |
| $11.19 |
| May 15, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?Yes | buy | 817.14 | $0.012 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?Yes | buy | 586.32 | $0.017 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.015 | $18.28 | Nov 6, 2025 |
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.57 | $0.951 | $11 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax in 2025?Yes | buy | 127.5 | $0.039 | $5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.996 | $19.15 | Sep 7, 2025 |
X Money launch in 2025?Yes | buy | 19.55 | $0.767 | $15 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Yes | buy | 19.24 | $0.780 | $15 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Sep 4, 2025 |
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?Yes | buy | 125.71 | $0.318 | $40 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000.00 by March 31?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | Jan 5, 2025 |
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.980 | $100 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 674.54 | $0.593 | $400 | Nov 2, 2024 |
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.700 | $15 | Sep 8, 2024 |
Kamala positive favorability by Sunday?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.720 | $40 | Sep 8, 2024 |
2024 August hottest on record?Yes | buy | 202.84 | $0.986 | $200 | Sep 8, 2024 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.003 | $30 | Sep 8, 2024 |
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | sell | 529.86 | $0.740 | $392.1 | Sep 8, 2024 |
Trump x Biden golf announced before August?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.019 | $50 | Jul 1, 2024 |
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | Jun 12, 2024 |
Chase bank explosion an inside job?No | buy | 503.02 | $0.994 | $500 | May 30, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet less than 55 times?Yes | buy | 11.25 | $0.889 | $10 | May 30, 2024 |
Mexican Presidential Election: Will another candidate win?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | May 30, 2024 |