Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.120 | $0.12 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 15 |
| $0.680 |
| $10.2 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.670 | $26.8 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.190 | $30.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.900 | $40.5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 89 | $0.120 | $10.68 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.029 | $2.29 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 6 | $0.840 | $5.04 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 16 | $0.840 | $13.44 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.974 | $37.99 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.540 | $18.9 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.470 | $16.45 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.830 | $39.84 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 52 | $0.710 | $36.92 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.090 | $7.29 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.009 | $0.33 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.020 | $1.06 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 49 | $0.760 | $37.24 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 41 | $0.957 | $39.24 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 44 | $0.988 | $43.47 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.989 | $43.52 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.490 | $15.19 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.310 | $34.41 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.320 | $35.52 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 46 | $0.955 | $43.93 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.960 | $40.32 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.013 | $0.81 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.958 | $5.75 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.962 | $5.77 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.948 | $4.74 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will André Ventura be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No | sell | 5 | $0.988 | $4.94 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?No | sell | 5 | $0.979 | $4.9 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?No | buy | 5 | $0.981 | $4.91 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?No | sell | 5 | $0.936 | $4.68 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?No | buy | 5 | $0.938 | $4.69 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.054 | $4.75 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $1500 and $1600 on May 9?No | sell | 9 | $0.993 | $8.94 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1500 and $1600 on May 9?No | buy | 9 | $0.984 | $8.86 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No | sell | 9 | $0.980 | $8.82 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.978 | $8.8 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Dasha Nekrasova attend Pope Francis' funeral?No | sell | 9 | $0.976 | $8.78 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Dasha Nekrasova attend Pope Francis' funeral?No | buy | 9 | $0.977 | $8.79 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Victor Ponta win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 9 | $0.984 | $8.86 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will the Giants draft Abdul Carter?No | sell | 21 | $0.229 | $4.81 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will the Giants draft Abdul Carter?No | buy | 26 | $0.106 | $2.76 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will the Colts draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?No | buy | 6 | $0.973 | $5.84 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will the Browns draft Travis Hunter?No | sell | 9 | $0.127 | $1.14 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| Will the Browns draft Travis Hunter?No | buy | 8 | $0.162 | $1.3 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | sell | 7 | $0.976 | $6.83 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | buy | 7 | $0.976 | $6.83 | Apr 18, 2025 |