Latest trade
Apr 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 5:03 AM UTC.
Analytics
arthax has made $83.56 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 39 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 5:03 AM UTC.
$1.26 median trade
Its latest 72 trades covered 40 markets; 70.8% were buys. They run from May 18, 2025 UTC to Apr 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 413.33 | $0.003 | $1.24 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 02:06 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-16 05:03 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
72 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-16 05:03 UTC
polymarket positions
41 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-09 01:05 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $159.09 and losing ones cost $69.53 across 39 settled positions. 20.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $72 on “Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?” (Yes); the largest loss, $10.98 on “Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?” (Yes).
It first traded on 18 May 2025 and most recently on 3 Apr 2026, 195 days ago. It has traded 40 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 4 |
| $0.310 |
| $1.24 |
| Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 22.88 | $0.320 | $7.32 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?No | sell | 8.34 | $0.997 | $8.31 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.300 | $1.06 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.22 | $0.080 | $1.06 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.22 | $0.090 | $1.19 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?No | buy | 8.35 | $0.599 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.011 | $3 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?Yes | buy | 20.4 | $0.049 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.032 | $0.27 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 77.8 | $0.059 | $4.59 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 109.43 | $0.042 | $4.6 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 38.68 | $0.089 | $3.45 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.1 | $0.012 | $0.13 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 26.12 | $0.012 | $0.31 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.007 | $0.58 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.130 | $0.68 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.130 | $1.73 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 64.23 | $0.071 | $4.56 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 28.5 | $0.160 | $4.56 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.5 | $0.160 | $4.56 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.730 | $4.56 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 26.12 | $0.049 | $1.28 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.54 | $0.153 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.1 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 26.78 | $0.410 | $10.98 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 13.96 | $0.930 | $12.98 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 13.97 | $0.630 | $8.8 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?No | sell | 12.05 | $0.730 | $8.8 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.720 | $4.36 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.700 | $4.2 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.75 | $0.350 | $2.36 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.51 | $0.421 | $9.91 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?No | buy | 51.82 | $0.022 | $1.14 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.160 | $1.14 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?No | buy | 94.44 | $0.076 | $7.16 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will MrBeast's latest video get 16–18 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get 14–16 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.