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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Yes | 10.34 | $0.967 | $10.01 | +$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 46.57 | $0.990 | $46.1 | 23d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 11.73 |
| $0.750 |
| $5.22 |
| -$3.58 |
| buy |
| 11.73 |
| $0.750 |
| $8.8 |
| 23d ago |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.967 | $10 | 23d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.930 | $2.02 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 3.97 | $0.510 | $2.02 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 3.97 | $0.750 | $2.98 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 3.11 | $0.958 | $2.98 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.987 | $3.07 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.880 | $3.58 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 56.65 | $0.880 | $49.85 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 AFD deaths foul play confirmed in 2025?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 1.93 | $0.992 | $1.91 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 2.03 | $0.995 | $2.02 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.15 | $0.984 | $2.12 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 4.12 | $0.997 | $4.11 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.981 | $2 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.44 | $0.900 | $1.3 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.945 | $1.8 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 4.16 | $0.962 | $4 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.59 | $0.730 | $7 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 475 | $0.982 | $466.45 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 379.24 | $0.985 | $373.55 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 4.13 | $0.969 | $4 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.880 | $1.7 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.920 | $2.2 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| AFD deaths foul play confirmed in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | buy | 2.73 | $0.952 | $2.6 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.890 | $1.3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.970 | $1.2 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 200.2 | $0.999 | $200 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 122.73 | $0.991 | $121.63 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 66.46 | $0.992 | $65.93 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 107.19 | $0.987 | $105.8 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 200.2 | $0.999 | $200 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 122.74 | $0.994 | $122 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 66.47 | $0.993 | $66 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.930 | $1.9 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.924 | $2.1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.5 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.96 | $0.947 | $2.8 | Oct 26, 2025 |