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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.18K | $0.357 | $1.09K | +$673.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 30.44 | $0.670 | $20.39 | Mar 31, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 176.47 |
| $0.850 |
| $152.65 |
| +$2.65 |
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 511.91 | $0.342 | $115.18 | -$59.82 |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 270 | $0.560 | $70.2 | -$81 |
| buy |
| 400 |
| $0.520 |
| $208 |
| Mar 31, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 379.87 | $0.348 | $132.22 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 156.25 | $0.410 | $64.06 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | buy | 303.95 | $0.880 | $267.48 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | buy | 92.63 | $0.750 | $69.47 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | buy | 75.23 | $0.710 | $53.41 | Mar 25, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?No | buy | 191.75 | $0.440 | $84.37 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 511.91 | $0.342 | $175 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.560 | $151.2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?No | buy | 26 | $0.550 | $14.3 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.480 | $75 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 176.47 | $0.850 | $150 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 475.54 | $0.368 | $175 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | buy | 556.11 | $0.539 | $300 | Mar 22, 2026 |
US strikes Yemen by December 31?No | buy | 48.19 | $0.830 | $40 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.027 | $30 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 929.85 | $0.376 | $350 | Aug 30, 2025 |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.11K | $0.175 | $369.85 | Aug 30, 2025 |
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.090 | $15 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.310 | $77.5 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.100 | $10.01 | Nov 14, 2024 |
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.290 | $290 | Nov 14, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 480.71 | $0.622 | $299 | Nov 5, 2024 |