Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 100 | $0.200 | $13.5 | -$6.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.967 | $4.84 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5 |
| $0.910 |
| $4.68 |
| +$0.13 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10.33 | $0.187 | $2.43 | +$0.5 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 2.4 | $0.835 | $2.24 | +$0.24 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10.35 | $0.140 | $1.31 | -$0.14 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 6 | $0.180 | $0.99 | -$0.09 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.280 | $0.73 | -$0.68 |
| sell |
| 101.7 |
| $0.999 |
| $101.6 |
| Jul 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 533.7 | $0.480 | $256.18 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.450 | $135 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 56.75 | $0.700 | $39.72 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 12.04 | $0.710 | $8.55 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 54.22 | $0.770 | $41.75 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.780 | $6.24 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.700 | $5.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.140 | $140 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 110 | $0.440 | $48.4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 106.31 | $0.747 | $79.41 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.707 | $7.07 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 204.24 | $0.420 | $85.78 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 30.2 | $0.805 | $24.31 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 52.05 | $0.806 | $41.95 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 70.77 | $0.880 | $62.28 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | sell | 70.85 | $0.690 | $48.89 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?No | sell | 22.99 | $0.890 | $20.46 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?No | sell | 15.01 | $0.930 | $13.96 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?No | sell | 7.32 | $0.940 | $6.88 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 397.26 | $0.998 | $396.47 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.993 | $397.2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.219 | $10.95 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.986 | $493 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 101.7 | $0.580 | $58.99 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.690 | $5.52 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.509 | $23.41 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.505 | $2.53 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.491 | $51.56 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.486 | $2.43 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.486 | $29.16 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.491 | $29.46 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.477 | $2.39 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.893 | $357.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | sell | 1.06K | $0.017 | $17.98 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | sell | 114.91 | $0.018 | $2.07 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 18 | $0.372 | $6.7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.371 | $3.71 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.421 | $2.11 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 87.51 | $0.620 | $54.26 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.058 | $58 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 27.47 | $0.057 | $1.57 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 44.99 | $0.038 | $1.71 | Jun 15, 2026 |