Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 41% on 30 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 66 daily closes on record from 30 Apr 2026 to 4 Jul 2026, the highest close was 51% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 15% on 29 May 2026. $18.74K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 30 Apr 2026 – 4 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2026 | 41.0% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shady-Sunroom | Yes | 733.12 |
| tvqtps | Yes | 650.14 |
| aenews2 | Yes | 509.96 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-netanyahu-talk-to-joseph-aoun-by
| ballyhooo | Yes | 158.43 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Gray-Supreme | Yes | 89.77 |
| timonkosmon | No | 71.43 |
| Grokius | Yes | 70.15 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 68.42 |
| Shrill-Hedge | Yes | 54.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
