Latest trade
Dec 12, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 12:39 PM UTC.
Analytics
kvakvago is down $466.23 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-28 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 12, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 12:39 PM UTC.
$1.4 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 29 markets; 44.0% were buys. They run from Dec 7, 2025 UTC to Dec 12, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.250 | $0.96 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-28 22:53 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 12:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 12:39 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-28 22:53 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $46.89 and losing ones cost $288.13 across the latest 50 settled positions. 22% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $8.76 on “Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?” (Yes); the largest loss, $84.25 on “Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 12 Dec 2025. It has traded 106 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 195.2 |
| $0.004 |
| $0.69 |
| Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.25 | $0.330 | $1.4 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.25 | $0.360 | $1.53 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 Grok 5 released by December 31?Yes | sell | 279.8 | $0.009 | $2.52 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Grok 5 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 143.16 | $0.019 | $2.72 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.02 | $0.046 | $0.28 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.120 | $0.18 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.030 | $0.14 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 5–7 years in prison?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.030 | $0.43 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?Yes | sell | 39.2 | $0.012 | $0.47 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?Yes | sell | 47.5 | $0.026 | $1.22 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Grok 5 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 136.64 | $0.017 | $2.37 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.078 | $1.39 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?Yes | sell | 74.07 | $0.006 | $0.44 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.050 | $0.19 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.120 | $0.35 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.001 | $1.23 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.049 | $0.45 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?Yes | sell | 257.79 | $0.022 | $5.79 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 544 | $0.005 | $2.72 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 174.63 | $0.016 | $2.72 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 148.99 | $0.018 | $2.75 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?Yes | sell | 16.78 | $0.130 | $2.18 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.016 | $0.57 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.258 | $10.32 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12PM ETDown | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Walz" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.130 | $0.54 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.023 | $1.47 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?Yes | sell | 195.96 | $0.012 | $2.38 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 1-7?Yes | sell | 32.86 | $0.079 | $2.6 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.100 | $2.5 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12PM ETDown | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12PM ETDown | sell | 24.98 | $0.180 | $4.5 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12PM ETDown | buy | 24.98 | $0.590 | $14.74 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12PM ETUp | sell | 37.79 | $0.390 | $14.74 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12PM ETUp | buy | 14.14 | $0.280 | $3.96 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12PM ETUp | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12PM ETUp | buy | 6.51 | $0.461 | $3 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 11AM ETUp | sell | 14.24 | $0.840 | $11.96 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 11AM ETUp | buy | 10.08 | $0.250 | $2.52 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 11AM ETUp | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.148 | $1.35 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.