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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 1.7 | $0.990 | $1.68 | +$0 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.810 | $1.01 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.53 |
| $0.765 |
| $1.47 |
| +$0.3 |
 Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 1.41 | $0.980 | $1.35 | -$0.03 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.54 | $0.820 | $1.33 | +$0.07 |
 Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 1.39 | $0.950 | $1.33 | +$0.01 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | No | 1.25 | $0.984 | $1.24 | +$0.01 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 1.36 | $0.840 | $1.15 | +$0.01 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 1.57 | $0.670 | $1.1 | +$0.05 |
 Will Matt Orlando win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election? | Yes | 1.02 | $0.987 | $0.98 | -$0.03 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1.37 | $0.870 | $0.16 | -$1.03 |
| sell |
| 1.43 |
| $0.850 |
| $1.22 |
| 5d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.840 | $1.14 | 5d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.930 | $1.25 | 5d ago |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.860 | $1.26 | 6d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.984 | $1.23 | 8d ago |
| Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.840 | $1.05 | 10d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1.57 | $0.750 | $1.18 | 12d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.940 | $1.26 | 14d ago |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.880 | $1.3 | 18d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.710 | $1.12 | 22d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.820 | $1.26 | 27d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.830 | $1.19 | 27d ago |
 Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes | sell | 1.32 | $0.950 | $1.25 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.968 | $1.24 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.960 | $1.27 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes | sell | 1.5 | $0.750 | $1.13 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.720 | $1.02 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.728 | $1.04 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes | sell | 1.22 | $0.830 | $1.01 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Matt Orlando win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.987 | $1.01 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.840 | $1.03 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.965 | $1.04 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.987 | $1.45 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.761 | $1.09 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes | buy | 1.5 | $0.740 | $1.11 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.940 | $1.21 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.958 | $1.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.955 | $1.1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.968 | $1.05 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.960 | $1.2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.950 | $1.19 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.950 | $1.32 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.974 | $1.49 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.962 | $1.45 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.921 | $1.29 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.940 | $1.07 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.970 | $1.11 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.920 | $1.29 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the World Cup?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.948 | $1.18 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes | buy | 20.68 | $0.059 | $1.22 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.926 | $1.4 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 1.31 | $0.777 | $1.02 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.5 | $0.380 | $0.57 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.580 | $0.92 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.886 | $1.14 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.720 | $1.14 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.959 | $1.24 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.870 | $1.19 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.5 | $0.820 | $1.23 | Jul 7, 2026 |