Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 24% on 8 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 8 Jun 2026 to 12 Jul 2026, the highest close was 24% on 8 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 3.3% on 9 Jun 2026. $90.04K traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 12, 11:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 8 Jun 2026 – 12 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2026 | 24.0% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 29.82K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 14.9K |
| jingjingqiu | Yes | 9.81K |
| balthazar | Yes | 8.41K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Norway is eliminated. If Norway wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Norway is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Norway based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-norway-stage-of-elimination
| tyche999 | Yes | 2.78K |
| 56sdfdsfs | Yes | 1.67K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 1.3K |
| TobbenB3 | Yes | 798.06 |
| Unwelcome-Knee | Yes | 736.39 |
| 47X | Yes | 509.37 |
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