Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.989 |
| $1 |
| Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 3AM ETUp | buy | 230.02 | $0.506 | $116.3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $180 in September?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $270 in September?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.977 | $2 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.971 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.12 | $0.963 | $3 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.14 | $0.954 | $3 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.954 | $3 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.981 | $4.91 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.986 | $4.93 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.375 | $2.63 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 16.13 | $0.948 | $15.29 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.949 | $15.31 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.35K | $0.580 | $1.36K | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.35K | $0.579 | $1.36K | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.68K | $0.616 | $1.03K | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Wyoming Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 25.58 | $0.970 | $24.81 | Oct 18, 2024 |