Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:13 PM UTC.
Analytics
german831 is down $1.41K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:13 PM UTC.
$13.97 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 47 markets; 82.0% were buys. They run from Oct 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 26? | No | 100.46 | $0.924 | $94.59 | +$1.79 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 26? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 26?No | buy | 31 | $0.949 | $29.42 | 2h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 22:00 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 12:13 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 12:13 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-20 22:00 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $676.93 and losing ones cost $1.72K across the latest 50 settled positions. 36% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $63.99 on “Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 13?” (No); the largest loss, $262.33 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET” (Up).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 765 markets. Its open positions are worth $397.04 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 101.88 |
| $0.913 |
| $92.05 |
| -$0.95 |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 25? | No | 100.08 | $0.949 | $90.33 | -$4.67 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 25? | No | 50 | $0.670 | $48.58 | +$15.08 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 25? | No | 50.13 | $0.768 | $32.61 | -$5.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 26? | No | 31 | $0.949 | $28.88 | -$0.54 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 25? | No | 10.1 | $0.924 | $10.02 | +$0.69 |
| buy |
| 101.88 |
| $0.913 |
| $93 |
| 4h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 25?No | buy | 100.08 | $0.949 | $95 | 11h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 26?No | buy | 100.46 | $0.924 | $92.8 | 16h ago |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 53 | $0.910 | $48.23 | 1d ago |
 Human moon landing in 2026?No | sell | 50.03 | $0.975 | $48.76 | 1d ago |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 54 | $0.895 | $48.35 | 1d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 54 | $0.870 | $46.98 | 1d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 52 | $0.940 | $48.88 | 1d ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.995 | $49.75 | 1d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | sell | 19 | $0.940 | $17.86 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 25?No | buy | 50 | $0.670 | $33.5 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 25?No | buy | 50.13 | $0.768 | $38.5 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 25?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.924 | $9.33 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 24?No | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | 1d ago |
 Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba PlayoffsBESTIA | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 1d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Sökerorg vs WBT Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #9 PlayoffsWBT Academy | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 24?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 24?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 24?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 24?No | buy | 31.9 | $0.923 | $29.46 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 24?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?No | buy | 50.28 | $0.885 | $44.5 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 24?No | buy | 50.11 | $0.938 | $47 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 24?No | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | 2d ago |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.930 | $49.29 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 54 | $0.920 | $49.68 | 2d ago |
 Spread: Bears (-2.5)Patriots | buy | 21.45 | $0.470 | $10.08 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 23?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | 2d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 23?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown | buy | 5.44 | $0.680 | $3.7 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp | buy | 5.24 | $0.210 | $1.1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown | buy | 5.47 | $0.530 | $2.9 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown | buy | 5.2 | $0.250 | $1.3 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 23?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | 3d ago |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 53 | $0.950 | $50.35 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 23?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | 3d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 23?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | 3d ago |
 Lyon Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Luca Van AsscheLuca Van Assche | buy | 11.45 | $0.440 | $5.04 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 23?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.847 | $4.24 | 3d ago |
| Human moon landing in 2026?No | buy | 50.04 | $0.988 | $49.45 | 3d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 53 | $0.940 | $49.82 | 3d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.