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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.240 | $2.88 | -$12.13 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 11.67 | $0.600 | $7 | May 19, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 21.61 |
| $0.463 |
| $10 |
| May 13, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 21.58 | $0.139 | $3 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.210 | $15 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.005 | $0.11 | Mar 29, 2026 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.240 | $15 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.997 | $28.48 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.276 | $6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.028 | $4 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.250 | $4 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | sell | 19.8 | $0.064 | $1.27 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 19.8 | $0.505 | $10 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | sell | 67.85 | $0.950 | $64.46 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 92.54 | $0.108 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 149.7 | $0.167 | $25 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.090 | $25 | May 15, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | May 4, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 3+ times during his University of Alabama commencement speech?No | buy | 9.76 | $0.410 | $4 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 28.12 | $0.977 | $27.47 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?Yes | buy | 34.03 | $0.880 | $29.95 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 28.13 | $0.711 | $20 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 40.54 | $0.670 | $27.15 | Feb 23, 2025 |
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Feb 23, 2025 |
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?No | buy | 47.15 | $0.424 | $19.99 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 69.64 | $0.718 | $50 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 80.2 | $0.611 | $49 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 383.63 | $0.391 | $150 | Nov 5, 2024 |