Analytics
Resolved No on 11 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 48% on 18 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2026 to 11 May 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 63% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 10 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 0.4% on 9 May 2026. $13.16K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 10:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 18 Apr 2026 – 11 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 48.0% |
| 11 May 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlancheDevereaux12 | Yes | 323.04 |
| Afraid-Calorie | Yes | 280.04 |
| MrMarket | Yes | 204.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reform UK wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-united-kingdom-local-elections-reform-wins-seats
| Yes |
| 194 |
| unknownz1699 | Yes | 166.67 |
| Minty-Caption | Yes | 125 |
| skulldyan | Yes | 103.04 |
| pogacsa | Yes | 52.63 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| invincibu11 | Yes | 44.2 |
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