Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 89%. Yes opened at 60% on 21 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 21 Mar 2025 to 29 Apr 2025, the highest close was 89% on 25 Apr 2025 and the lowest 60% on 21 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 82.5% on 24 Mar 2025. $103.89K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 30, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 21 Mar 2025 – 29 Apr 2025, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2025 | 60.0% |
| 29 Apr 2025 | 89.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| malchemist | No | 3.22K |
| PPPo-578 | No | 1.38K |
| ringside | No | 1.23K |
| MarketMaker1 | No | 679.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jagmeet Singh loses his seat in parliament as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-jagmeet-singh-lose-his-seat
| JJJ777 | No | 654.71 |
| Payton1980 | No | 586.67 |
| RpjKJuQATD | No | 414 |
| Bil001 | No | 350 |
| joexbt | No | 300 |
| ando2 | No | 176.92 |
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