Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | sell | 71.42 | $0.140 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 35.71 |
| $0.280 |
| $10 |
| Jul 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31?Yes | buy | 92.02 | $0.109 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.300 | $4.76 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will France strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 22.42 | $0.157 | $3.52 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 138.46 | $0.300 | $41.54 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will France strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 22.42 | $0.223 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 24.99 | $0.800 | $19.99 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 222.22 | $0.100 | $22.22 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 84.46 | $0.998 | $84.29 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 84.46 | $0.389 | $32.89 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 11.36 | $0.850 | $9.66 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | sell | 71.42 | $0.020 | $1.43 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.300 | $4.92 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.010 | $0.25 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.061 | $1.91 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.871 | $23.53 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.290 | $6.44 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?Down | buy | 9.5K | $0.001 | $9.5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?Down | buy | 9K | $0.001 | $9 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?Down | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 16.18 | $0.618 | $10 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jun 18, 2025 |