Latest trade
Oct 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:30 PM UTC.
Nathan8125 has made $2.52 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:30 PM UTC.
$9.55 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 43 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Jun 26, 2026 UTC to Oct 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 30.8 | $0.820 | $25.64 | +$0.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.870 | $10.88 | 7d ago |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 12:59 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 20:30 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 20:30 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-17 12:59 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $22.91 and losing ones cost $14.12 across the latest 50 settled positions. 86% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.82 on “TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3 on “Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Oct 2026. It has traded 156 markets. Its open positions are worth $34.29 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 8.67 |
| $0.992 |
| $8.65 |
| +$0.05 |
| buy |
| 30.8 |
| $0.820 |
| $25.26 |
| 9d ago |
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?No | buy | 8.67 | $0.992 | $8.6 | 14d ago |
Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 39.32 | $0.997 | $39.2 | 15d ago |
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.840 | $10.5 | 16d ago |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 49.1 | $0.850 | $41.74 | 19d ago |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 49.1 | $0.840 | $41.24 | 19d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.46 | $0.997 | $19.4 | 24d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?Yes | buy | 28.16 | $0.998 | $28.1 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 8.02 | $0.999 | $8.01 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5.78 | $0.987 | $5.7 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.987 | $1.01 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.964 | $12.05 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 38.6 | $0.996 | $38.45 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No | buy | 38.68 | $0.998 | $38.6 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 102.16 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.6 | $0.930 | $10.79 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?No | buy | 20.16 | $0.997 | $20.1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.4 | $0.948 | $18.39 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
Will Mistral be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.997 | $1.8 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.996 | $39.84 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.997 | $1.3 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 43.25 | $0.992 | $42.9 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.984 | $43.3 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?No | sell | 43.5 | $0.996 | $43.33 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?No | buy | 43.51 | $0.993 | $43.2 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?No | buy | 43.13 | $0.997 | $43 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | buy | 43.02 | $0.995 | $42.8 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.47 | $0.994 | $28.3 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.998 | $1.3 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in July?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.998 | $1.2 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.996 | $1.3 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in July?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.997 | $1.4 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.996 | $1.3 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in July?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.996 | $1.2 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.995 | $1.3 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.990 | $1.5 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.996 | $1.1 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in July?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.992 | $1.2 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.998 | $1.6 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.93 | $0.992 | $3.9 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?No | buy | 33.73 | $0.999 | $33.7 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.997 | $3.7 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 33.97 | $0.998 | $33.9 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in June?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.998 | $4.1 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.